The One About New EU Bank Charges, The Euro and Cameron’s Veto
It’s hard to believe that it’s already been three years since the meltdown of our economy and the subsequent bank bail out. Yet today, well over 1000 days later, we still find ourselves in the midst of a crisis that threatens to bankrupt a handful of European countries and dramatically change our economic structure for the foreseeable future.
While the bail out sured up the banking sector and gave investors confidence, it did little to increase consumer confidence or reduce future unemployment rates, in the same way that refunding PPI payments has done little to increase it’s popularity. But it must be said that we’re not at risk of collapse, we may face a 90′s Japan-esque decade of very low growth, but it’s still growth and there’s very little chance of things going the way of Greece or Italy.
The problem, that’s been well highlighted, is our economy’s dependence on the banking sector instead of more reliable (but less glamorous) industries such as manufacturing and exporting physical goods. The Office of National Statistics (ONS) ‘Blue Book’ reports that the financial sector accounted for 31.9% of Gross Value Added (GVA) to the British economy, yet in size it only makes up 5.1% of it.
The result is a financial sector that employs few people and produces nothing that can be bought by other countries but contributes massive tax receipts. The major problem is that, unlike Germany who’s Mittelstand makes niche items of a high quality that will always be in demand somewhere in the world, our banking sector can collapse simply due to a lack of confidence.
But, that’s our bed so to speak and unless we have a radical rethink on the structure of our economy; we’ll be sleeping in it for a while yet. So, with the banking sector (and our economy) still in need of protection, David Cameron made a decision on Friday to go against a new EU proposal to place bank charges on financial transactions that could see financial institutions upsticks and leave the City.
The new Financial Transaction Tax (FTT) would be a tax on every purchase or sale of stocks or bonds or whatever financial product by a bank. Like any tax, if we all pay then it’s fair, but the problem is 75% of the total tax paid through FTT would be paid by banks located in the UK. This would leave banks with no real incentive to base themselves in the City of London and could see them leave, taking huge tax payments with them and damaging our economy.
That’s why Cameron veto’d it, but he’s going to have to explain himself to his right, sorry, left-hand man, Nick Clegg and other MP’s later today, many of whom fundamentally disagree with the veto, fearing it may distance us from Europe. Such an outcome could mean difficulties with trade, relations and important economic ties, which could also spell disaster as Europe is by far our largest trading partner.
So, going with the FTT or against it has implications but whether we support it or not the EU can vote in favour of the new charges and force them upon us. It’s difficult to know what will happen with FTT but the bigger question is what will happen to the Euro Zone and the EU as a whole. The fallout from FTT may well shape a new EU and the inability to save Greece, Italy and even Spain could see them leave the single currency, as could their unwillingness to continue with austerity cuts and tax hikes.
While these outcomes are unknown, one thing is for sure – the next five years will see a major shake up of the European Union and the Euro Zone and anyone who tells you they know exactly what’s going to happen is either back from the future or a fool.




Banks have
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